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What's next for Cavaliers? No one is safe after going all in, so what does that mean for LeBron James?

Source: CBS SportsView Original
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Trading a 26-year-old All-Star for a 36-year-old All-Star sends a certain message. That's not something you do when you're satisfied just competing. The 64-win regular season, the three consecutive playoff berths, the preseason Eastern Conference favorite status, that sort of trade essentially renders all of that stuff meaningless. It's the sort of move you make when the only acceptable outcome is the Finals. Literally anything less is a failure.

The Cleveland Cavaliers spent the first two rounds of the 2026 NBA Playoffs teetering on the edge of calamity. They very nearly lost to Toronto. They looked dead early against the Pistons. Reaching the conference finals against the New York Knicks was a new high for this group. Had they competed earnestly in the series, they perhaps could have justified a quiet summer. When they led Game 1 by 22 in the fourth quarter, they could even start fantasizing about the Finals. And then Jalen Brunson lit James Harden on fire for eight minutes. The Knicks won the game in overtime.

This version of the Cavaliers died that night. The next three games were an extended funeral, no matter what Kenny Atkinson thinks the analytics said.

Cleveland just had the NBA's highest payroll. Its 2033 first-round pick is frozen because the Cavaliers exceeded the second apron. Most of its other picks are still owed out through the Donovan Mitchell trade. Speaking of Mitchell, he's going into a contract year. The 36-year-old that Cleveland imported to support him had his moments in the postseason, but ultimately created more problems than he solved. The youngest core Cavalier, Evan Mobley, hasn't grown into the star scorer Cleveland hoped he would.

This is a "nobody is safe" sort of defeat. One way or another, the Cavaliers are probably going to look different next season. So let's go through the roster and figure out who's staying, who's going, and who might be coming.

Will Donovan Mitchell extend? Should Cleveland want him to?

The relief in Cleveland when Donovan Mitchell signed a $150 million extension in 2024 was palpable. After two years of exit rumors, Cleveland's risk in acquiring Mitchell when he wanted to go to New York was rewarded. Yet that extension ultimately secured them only two more years of team control. Now Mitchell is one year away from free agency, unofficially making him a pre-agent. If he doesn't extend, the trade rumors begin anew.

Cleveland has made retaining Mitchell its primary goal. Mitchell did not want the Cavaliers to sit tight at the deadline, according to The Athletic. He wanted Harden specifically, so they got him. All indications suggest at this point that they will indeed offer him a full, 35% max contract this offseason. He's about to turn 30. He's usually available, but often banged up.

His postseason was up and down. His playmaking has all but evaporated. With Harden playing point guard, Mitchell hovered around three assists per game in the postseason. He was held to 20 points or fewer three times by Toronto. Ausar Thompson took him out of large stretches of the Detroit series -- Mitchell shot 7 of 26 with Thompson as his primary defender in the series, according to NBA.com tracking data, and the Cavaliers scored an ugly 0.9 points per possession as a team during the possessions in which Thompson guarded Mitchell. Thompson does this to almost everyone, but if you're paying 35% of the cap for a guard who no longer really defends or passes, the reasonable expectation is that he should be able to score against anyone.

If Cleveland is at all skittish about this contract -- and nothing the Cavs have done to this point suggests that's the case -- there will still certainly be suitors willing to pay a hefty price. Mitchell would be an ideal Cade Cunningham running mate, for instance. The Pistons badly need another scorer, but Cunningham can handle the playmaking duties, and the Pistons have far more defensive depth than Cleveland does. Houston and Atlanta are in somewhat similar boats. They're loaded with assets, have a ton of wings, but could really use a guard. If Mitchell is interested in finally getting to New York, Brooklyn's lottery plunge potentially opens that door. The Nets have an almost endless collection of picks. They could theoretically get Mitchell and someone else.

Mitchell might make the decision for them. When that happens, the player typically has a destination in mind. Is there an ideal home for Mitchell if he moves? The Knicks, his preferred landing spot in 2022, are off the table at this point. If he cares about market, would he wait for his free agency to try to jump to the Lakers in 2027? Miami has long been rumored to hold interest. Stars often whisper in each other's ears. Maybe someone recruits him.

For now, the assumption should be that Mitchell is back. That takes us to the next star on the list.

Evan Mobley for Giannis?... Or anyone else?

By any reasonable standard for a No. 3 overall pick, Evan Mobley has been a success.

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