Jamey's 2026 Fantasy busts 1.0: De'Von Achane carries risk at current ADP amid concerns with Miami's offense
Jamey's 2026 Fantasy busts 1.0: De'Von Achane carries risk at current ADP amid concerns with Miami's offense
Changing roles and usage trends could limit return on draft value
By
Jamey Eisenberg
May 7, 2026
at
7:16 pm ET
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1 min read
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USATSI
The headline of the column says Busts 1.0. But really, this is my do-not-draft list if the Average Draft Position for these players stays the same in August as it is in early May.
For this column, we're using the ADP data on FantasyPros. While this ADP mostly reflects best-ball drafts, it is an early guide of what could happen this season. It's a good starting point for our conversation on busts.
I will do at least two more versions of sleepers, breakouts, and busts before the start of the season. But now that the rookies are on NFL rosters, we can fully focus on the players who should matter the most to you in your Fantasy leagues this year.
And, as you'll read here, these are 10 players you might want to avoid.
Running Back
Projections powered by
Sportsline
De'Von Achane
RB
MIA
Miami
• #28
Age: 24
• Experience: 4 yrs.
Fantasy Breakdown (PPR)
OVERALL RNK
13th
RB RNK
6th
PROJ PTS
289.1
SOS
29
ADP
NR
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1350
REC
67
REYDS
488
TD
12
FPTS/G
20.2
This is a tricky one because the FantasyPros ADP for Achane is actually not bad at No. 14 overall as RB6. But in all the mock drafts we've done this offseason, he's been a first-round pick. And in some leagues, he's gone as the No. 3 running back off the board behind Jahmyr Gibbs and Bijan Robinson. I love Achane, and he's an amazing talent. But the situation in Miami could be atrocious with the lack of talent around him, especially if Malik Willis fails to involve Achane in the passing game at a high level. He's averaged 86 targets and 72.5 receptions the past two seasons as the lead running back for the Dolphins, but Willis might be more apt to run than use Achane as an outlet in the passing game. On top of that, defenses will make stopping Achane even more of a focal point with a receiving corps led by some combination of Jalen Tolbert, Tutu Atwell, Malik Washington, Chris Bell, Caleb Douglas and Kevin Coleman Jr. The scoring chances for Achane could also dwindle given Miami's offensive weapons, and he has 12 total touchdowns in each of the past two years. I'm fine drafting Achane in Round 2, but I do not want to draft him in Round 1 this season.
Travis Etienne
RB
NO
New Orleans
• #1
Age: 27
• Experience: 6 yrs.
Fantasy Breakdown (PPR)
OVERALL RNK
45th
RB RNK
19th
PROJ PTS
230.5
SOS
28
ADP
NR
2025 Stats
RUYDS
1107
REC
36
REYDS
292
TD
13
FPTS/G
14.9
It doesn't appear that Alvin Kamara is leaving New Orleans this season, which means we could have a frustrating timeshare in the Saints backfield. And that limits the upside for Etienne, who has a FantasyPros ADP of No. 45 overall as RB17. The Louisiana native signed a four-year, $52 million deal to play in New Orleans, so he should be the 1A running back. But Kamara could work on passing downs, and we'll see how much that hinders the production for Etienne. He was great in 2025 with the Jaguars when he averaged 14.9 PPR points per game. But keep in mind, he only has two seasons in his career over 12.5 PPR points per game, and he was miserable in 2024 when he averaged a career-low 8.7 PPR points. Now, Kamara turns 31 in July, and he missed six games last season with a knee injury. Any missed time in 2026 would be a huge boost for Etienne. Round 4 isn't a horrible time to gamble on Etienne, but I would prefer to draft him in Round 5.
TreVeyon Henderson
RB
NE
New England
• #32
Age: 23
• Experience: 2 yrs.
Fantasy Breakdown (PPR)
OVERALL RNK
51st
RB RNK
22nd
PROJ PTS
174.6
SOS
27
ADP
NR
2025 Stats
RUYDS
911
REC
35
REYDS
221
TD
10
FPTS/G
12.1
I was so excited to draft Henderson as a rookie in 2025. I loved his potential with the Patriots, and I thought he would be a star. He showed that potential in a few games last season, especially in Weeks 9-11 when Rhamondre Stevenson was injured, and Henderson averaged 24.3 PPR points over that span. He also scored 30.1 PPR points in Week 15 against Buffalo and 17.3 PPR points in Week 18 against Miami. But if you remove those five games, then Henderson averaged just 6.4 PPR points in his other 16 outings, including the playoffs. For the year, he appeared in 18 games with Stevenson, who played more snaps than Henderson in 15 of those contests. I'm still hopeful for Henderson to be a star in his sophomore campaign, but I would not draft him at his current FantasyPros ADP at No. 57 overall as RB21. I view Henderson as more of a high-end flex, and the earliest I would draft him is Round 6.
RJ Harvey
RB
DEN
Denver
• #12
Age: 25
• Experience: 2 yrs.
Fantasy Breakdown (PPR)
OVERALL RNK
71st
RB RNK
29th
PROJ PTS
214.9
SOS
8
ADP
NR
2025 Stats
RUYDS
540
REC
47
REYDS
356
TD
12
FPTS/G
12.2
Harvey was a great