State Watch

Republicans trail Democrats by double digits on generic congressional ballot: Survey

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by Ashleigh Fields - 05/18/26 10:20 AM ET

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by Ashleigh Fields - 05/18/26 10:20 AM ET

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A new poll shows Republicans trailing Democrats by double digits on a generic congressional ballot.

The survey results released Monday by the New York Times/Siena poll show that 50 percent of respondents said they would vote for the Democratic candidate in their district.

Comparatively, 39 percent said they would back the Republican nominee and 11 percent are unsure.

Thirty percent of the survey participants identify as Democrats, 29 percent identify as Republican while 35 percent said they are independent.

Three percent consider themselves members of another party, and 5 percent said they don’t know or refused to answer.

As a percentage of the total electorate, a plurality 38 percent, said they voted for President Trump in the 2024 election, 37 percent said they cast a ballot for former Vice President Kamala Harris and 18 percent said they did not vote.

Ninety percent of survey takers said they plan to participate in midterm elections versus 7 percent who said they are unlikely to vote in the general election. Two percent said they don’t know or refused to answer the question.

Trump has taken a strong approach to backing the candidates of his choosing in various states, with hopes of keeping the slim GOP majority in both chambers.

The president has also made efforts to oust incumbents who are not closely aligned with his legislative agenda.

Meanwhile, Democrats launched a seven–figure voter registration effort at the start of the year to increase the party’s visibility.

As of February, Republicans’ campaign arm had more cash on hand than its Democratic counterpart, with $78.2 million to Democrats $69.9 million.

The midterm election is Nov. 3.

The Times-Siena survey was conducted among 1,507 registered voters nationwide from May 11-15 via phone interviews. The margin of error for the poll is about plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

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