Sam Altman and Vinod Khosla agree: AI will break the economy. Their fix is no income tax for most Americans

When Vinod Khosla sat down with Fortune editor-in-chief Alyson Shontell in March and floated the idea of wiping out federal income taxes for the roughly 100-million-plus Americans earning less than $100,000 a year, it sounded like the kind of provocation only a billionaire with nothing left to prove could get away with. “I can’t be fired. I’ve never worried about a career. I don’t need more money at age 71,” Khosla said.

Recommended Video

A month later, OpenAI has made it clear that Khosla’s thinking may be the emerging consensus of Silicon Valley’s most powerful voices on how to prevent artificial intelligence from tearing the social fabric apart.

On Monday, OpenAI released a 13-page policy paper titled Industrial Policy for the Intelligence Age: Ideas to Keep People First, in which Sam Altman’s company laid out a sweeping blueprint for economic reform on a scale it compared to the Progressive Era of the early 1900s and Franklin Roosevelt’s New Deal of the 1930s. The central thrust: As AI systems approach superintelligence—defined as capabilities that surpass the smartest humans—the existing tax code, labor market, and social safety net are all dangerously unprepared for what’s coming.

The overlap with Khosla’s vision is hard to miss.

The tax code as a battleground

Khosla’s March proposal on Fortune’s Titans and Disruptors of Industry podcast was elegant in its simplicity: Eliminate the preferential tax rate on capital gains, tax all income—whether earned from a paycheck or an investment portfolio—at the same rate, and use the windfall to exempt everyone earning under $100,000 from federal income taxes entirely. He estimated that 40% of all capital gains taxes are paid by people earning more than $10 million annually, making the math work without increasing the overall tax burden.

OpenAI’s blueprint lands in the same territory, albeit through a slightly different door. The company’s paper calls for shifting the tax base away from payroll and labor income—the very revenue streams that AI threatens to hollow out—and toward corporate income and capital gains. It also floats what many have termed a “robot tax,” proposing levies on automated labor to capture a share of the productivity gains that would otherwise flow exclusively to capital owners.

Both Khosla and OpenAI framed the need for a major policy overhaul around the massive change arising from the implications of the exponential improvement in AI tools. OpenAI warns that as AI automates more work, the wage and payroll tax revenue that funds Social Security, Medicaid, SNAP, and housing assistance could collapse. Shifting to capital-based taxation isn’t just equitable, it argues, it’s fiscally necessary.

Both visions converge on the same uncomfortable assertion: The American tax system was designed for an economy in which most value was created by human labor. That economy is disappearing.

From one billionaire’s idea to a corporate blueprint

Khosla is not a passive observer of OpenAI’s trajectory—he was an early investor in the company. His argument that AI could automate 80% of current jobs by 2030 provides the economic backdrop against which OpenAI’s policy paper reads less like corporate positioning and more like an alarm bell.

During his Fortune interview, Khosla situated the problem in terms that go beyond tax policy. In an AI-driven economy, he argued, the traditional balance of income between labor and capital will tilt dramatically. “Capitalism was about economic efficiency,” he said, “but if the need for efficiency goes away because of extreme abundance, then why focus on efficiency?”

OpenAI’s paper echoes that logic almost beat for beat. Its most radical proposal is a nationally managed public wealth fund, seeded in part by AI companies themselves, that would invest in diversified assets across the AI economy and distribute returns directly to American citizens—a mechanism designed to give every person a stake in the technology that might otherwise render their skills obsolete.

Khosla himself has endorsed the idea of a national wealth fund, and the symmetry between his individual advocacy and OpenAI’s institutional proposal suggests that a policy framework is crystallizing within the AI industry’s upper echelons.

Critics aren’t buying it

Still, the fact that a major VC and the company he invested in are singing the same tune hasn’t silenced the skeptics. Anton Leicht, a visiting scholar with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, called OpenAI’s paper “comms work to provide cover for regulatory nihilism”—big ideas floated to project responsibility while the company builds at full speed. The paper landed on the same day The New Yorker published a lengthy investigation raising questions about Altman’s trustworthiness on safety issues, a timing that did not go unnoticed.

And the political headwinds are fierce. Taxing capital gains at ordinary income rates is a proposal that pushed Marc Andreessen to back Donald Trump after