Should Investors Buy Peloton Stock After Its 96% Decline? Here's the Good News and the Bad News.
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Should Investors Buy Peloton Stock After Its 96% Decline? Here's the Good News and the Bad News.
May 18, 2026 — 06:25 am EDT
Written by
Anthony Di Pizio for
The Motley Fool->
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Key Points
- Peloton stock was a pandemic darling, as demand soared for the company's at-home exercise equipment amid lockdowns and social restrictions.
- Demand for Peloton's products has since plummeted, sparking a 96% decline in its stock price.
- The company is now profitable, but its revenue is on track to shrink for the fifth straight year.
- 10 stocks we like better than Peloton Interactive ›
Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ: PTON) makes stationary exercise bikes, treadmills, and rowing machines, which it primarily sells to consumers for at-home use. Its stock went public in September 2019 priced at $29, but by the end of 2020, it had soared to a peak of $163. The COVID-19 pandemic sparked a surge in demand for the company's equipment, as lockdowns and social restrictions limited the use of gyms and other training facilities.
But when social conditions started to normalize in 2022, demand for Peloton's hardware plummeted. The company was faced with shrinking revenue and growing losses, which at one point threatened its very survival.
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Peloton continues to struggle with weak sales, but the company's bottom line is now in much better shape thanks to a series of drastic cost cuts. With its stock trading 96% below its 2020 high, could this be a good time for investors to buy?
Image source: Peloton Interactive.
Here's the bad news
Peloton's business has undergone a significant transformation over the last few years. In fiscal 2021 (ended June 30, 2021), exercise equipment sales were the largest contributor to the company's $4 billion in total revenue. But through the first three quarters of fiscal 2026 (ended March 31), equipment sales represented less than one-third of its revenue base.
That's mostly because demand for Peloton's products collapsed after the peak of the pandemic, but it also reflects a shift toward digital subscription services. The company offers a connected fitness subscription for customers who own its exercise equipment, which gives them access to virtual classes and real-time performance tracking. The company also offers a separate subscription to its mobile app for customers who don't own its equipment, which provides them with workout plans and other basic features.
These subscriptions now account for the bulk of Peloton's revenue. On the plus side, they have high profit margins, but they aren't very sticky, so it's tough to keep members around. In fact, during the third quarter, Peloton's connected fitness subscriber base shrank 8% year over year to 2.66 million members, and its paid app subscriber base declined by 9% to 522,000 members.
In other words, not only is Peloton struggling to sell equipment, but it's also having trouble sustaining its membership base.
As a result, the company's total revenue has declined in every single year since fiscal 2021, and it's on track to decline again during fiscal 2026, according to management's guidance.
Fiscal Year
Revenue
Revenue Growth (Contraction)
Fiscal 2021
$4.02 billion
120%
Fiscal 2022
$3.58 billion
(11%)
Fiscal 2023
$2.8 billion
(22%)
Fiscal 2024
$2.7 billion
(4%)
Fiscal 2025
$2.49 billion
(7%)
Fiscal 2026 (forecast)
$2.43 billion
(2%)
Data source: Peloton Interactive.
On to the good news
Peloton's management team appeared to be caught off guard when revenue started shrinking in fiscal 2022, because they had positioned the company's costs as if more growth was coming. Therefore, with less money coming in and more money going out, Peloton suffered a staggering net loss of $2.8 billion that year. If management didn't act fast to slash costs, the company probably wouldn't have survived.
Peloton is now spending less on everything from marketing to research and development. During the first nine months of fiscal 2026, the company's total operating expenses were just $862 million -- down sharply from $2.2 billion in the first nine months of fiscal 2022. As a result, it has eked out a small generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) profit of $1.6 million in fiscal 2026 to date, so bankruptcy is no longer a real risk in the near term.
But there is a catch. By constantly cutting costs, Peloton is investing less in developing new products and acquiring new customers, making